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All posts by Rohan Mascarenhas



A New Way To Encourage People to Save More for Retirement

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
December 1, 2011

Behavioral economists who study why people don't save enough for retirement often discuss the phenomenon of "hyperbolic discounting." The general idea is that people tend to place more value on rewards that can be enjoyed sooner rather than in the distant future. Researchers believe this effect may partly explain why Americans face a looming retirement crunch; a 2008 McKinsey report found that two out of three early baby boomers do not have the resources to maintain their lifestyle once they retire. For many, it is simply easier to enjoy a paycheck today rather than save part of it in a retirement account.

To combat excessive discounting, researchers have offered two types of solutions: make consumers commit to saving for retirement in advance (see Richard Thaler and Shlomo Benartzi's Save More Tomorrow program as an example), and try to teach consumers about the benefits of a bigger retirement pot (such as showing a projected estimate of savings after 40 years of investing).

Digitally Aged AvatarsBut with support from the Russell Sage Foundation, researchers have tested a novel approach: help consumers identify with their older, future selves. The theory is that if a young person can more vividly imagine himself on the verge of retirement years later, he may start to put more money away. "It's easy not to think about the future self," said psychologist Hal Ersner-Hershfield. "If we have options, we'd like to spend them on things that give us immediate pleasure. It's much harder to recognize how the future self will feel based on the decisions we make today."

The Russell Sage Foundation's Role in the Creation of Behavioral Economics

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 30, 2011

Birth of Behavioral EconomicsIn a piece published earlier this year in the Financial Times, columnist Tim Hartford observed that "behavioral economics has never been hotter." The field, once considered a marginal intellectual enterprise, has gone mainstream thanks partly to the publication of books like Nudge and work by economists like Sendhil Mullainathan, now the head of research at the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. But where did behavioral economics come from? How did the idea to integrate psychology and economics gain such traction?

An Interview with Alan Blinder: Rethinking the Financial System

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 30, 2011

Alan Blinder Discusses Financial CrisisAlan Blinder is the Gordon S. Rentschler Memorial Professor of Economics and Public Affairs at Princeton University. In the 1990s, he served in President Clinton's Council of Economic Advisers and then as Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Currently a Visiting Scholar at the Russell Sage Foundation, Dr. Blinder is writing a historical analysis of the 2007-08 financial crisis and the Great Recession.

Q: What is your overall assessment of what economists know about the financial sector? Which area needs more research? Did economics, as Larry Summers recently said, fail to keep with the fact that "asset prices show large volatility that don’t always reflect fundamentals"?

A: I don’t think Summers is right. Many of us had viewed asset prices as excessively volatile for a long, long time—dating back at least to Bob Shiller’s famous papers of 30 years ago.

Does Higher Productivity Lead to Higher Wages?

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 28, 2011

In yesterday's Chicago Tribune, columnist Phil Rosenthal talked to RSF author Harry Holzer about the relationship between higher productivity and better wages. Here was Holzer's quote:

"There's a number of economists out there like myself who, if you had asked us even a few years ago, we would have been pretty sure productivity growth was a good thing and now we're just a little more uncertain whether it's going to translate to benefits to workers," said Harry Holzer, a former chief economist for the U.S. Department of Labor who's now a professor of public policy at Georgetown University and an Urban Institute fellow.

"You look at the whole (last) decade … even at its peak, it was a very tepid labor market," he said. "You had very high productivity growth, almost none of which was being translated into worker earnings. That was troubling."

An Interview with Jens Ludwig: Assessing the Moving to Opportunity Housing Voucher Program

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 16, 2011

Jens LudwigJens Ludwig, an economist at the University of Chicago, studies social policy, particularly in the areas of urban poverty, education, crime, and housing policy. A former RSF Visiting Scholar, Ludwig was the project director for a final assessment of the Moving to Opportunity for Fair Housing Demonstration Program, which was partly funded by the Russell Sage Foundation.

Q: When the interim results of the MTO program were released a few years ago, many social scientists and journalists were surprised by the modest nature of its impact. Some reporters even argued the data proved neighborhood effects don’t matter all that much. Do you think such a pessimistic outlook is warranted?

A: Some social scientists have reacted to the MTO results as providing evidence that "neighborhood effects don't matter much." A different reaction people have had to the MTO findings is to focus on the fact that the difference in average neighborhood environments for families assigned to the mobility treatment groups and the control group have been converging over time, and have dismissed the value of the MTO experiment as not being very informative because the demonstration involved a "weak treatment." I think that both of these sorts of reactions miss some of the key lessons that come out of MTO.

First, it is certainly possible that moving families from very disadvantaged inner-city neighborhoods into neighborhoods that were much more affluent than the destination areas into which most MTO treatment group families moved—very affluent places like, say, the Gold Coast in Chicago, or the Upper East Side in New York City—could have more pronounced impacts on family outcomes than what we saw in MTO. But MTO is about as intensive a housing policy intervention as one could imagine in the current American political climate—in fact, MTO is probably much more intensive than anything any elected official would ever consider really doing. So what we've learned from MTO is that the range of neighborhood conditions that could be modified by feasible social policies doesn't necessarily have dramatic impacts on every outcome we care about, at least for the sort of very disadvantaged household of the type that enrolled in MTO.

The Final Impact Report on the Moving to Opportunity Housing Voucher Program

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 10, 2011

MTO Final Report

The U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development has released its final report on the Moving to Opportunity program, an ambitious social experiment that offered more than 4,000 low-income families the chance to move to a better neighborhood. The report, funded in part by the Russell Sage Foundation, describes the impacts of the program 10 to 15 years after families enrolled. It offers compelling data to researchers interested in the ways neighborhoods affect the lives of poor individuals. In an earlier assessment of the program, sociologist Robert Sampson wrote that MTO helps answer the following policy questions: "Does the offer of a housing voucher to move to a non-poor neighborhood affect the later outcomes of the extremely poor? Does it do so for those who have grown up in poverty and arguably have already experienced its developmental effects?"

Journal of Marketing Research Releases Special RSF-Funded Issue on Consumer Financial Decision Making

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
November 8, 2011

Consumer Finance Decision MakingThe Journal of Marketing Research released a special issue in November that provides new insights on how to improve consumers' financial decisions. The issue, funded by the Russell Sage and Alfred P. Sloan Foundations, features 14 articles by leading scholars from a range of disciplines, including finance, psychology, marketing and behavioral science.

"There are so many academic disciplines that have something to say about consumer financial decision making," said John G. Lynch Jr., the issue’s editor-in-chief. "The objective here was to ask all these people from different fields to be a part of the conversation."

In the wake of the financial crisis, many have expressed concerns about the delivery of consumer financial services and the structure of current regulations. Recent research has also provided abundant evidence of systemic errors in the ways consumers handle their finances.

"Consumers are often poorly informed and susceptible to making serious errors that have great personal and societal consequences," Lynch writes in the issue’s introduction.

An Interview with Karthick Ramakrishnan: Surveying Asian American Votes and Political Behavior

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
October 31, 2011

Karthick RamakrishnanKarthick Ramakrishnan, a political scientist at the University of California at Irvine, studies civic participation, immigration policy, and the politics of race, ethnicity, and immigration in the United States. Currently a Visiting Scholar, he is the co-author of Asian American Political Participation, the most comprehensive study to date of Asian American political behavior, including such key measures as voting, political donations, community organizing, and political protests.

Q: Your book details results from a survey you and your colleagues conducted on the political behavior and attitudes of Asian Americans. How does this new dataset improve upon previous surveys on this area? What gaps in our knowledge does it address?

A: Surveys of the Asian American population are rare to find, and those that do it in Asian languages are even more so. We found that, even among adult U.S. citizens, close to 40% of our interview respondents took the survey in an Asian language. So exit polls like the national polls done after presidential elections have inaccurate measures of the Asian American vote because those interviews are done only in English and Spanish.

New U.S. 2010 Report: "Unauthorized Immigrant Parents: Do Their Migration Histories Limit Their Children's Education?"

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
October 25, 2011

Prolonging the unauthorized status of illegal immigrants in the United States limits the education of their children, many of who are U.S. citizens, a new RSF-funded report has found. As nearly half of the children of Mexican immigrants in the United States -- nearly 4 million children -- have an unauthorized parent, the report's authors warn that not providing pathways for legalization could create a new underclass.

The study, part of RSF's U.S. 2010 Census project, addresses a controversial issue at the heart of the country's immigration debate: should we offer pathways to legalization for unauthorized immigrants currently in the United States? In analyzing the question, the report, entitled "Unauthorized Immigrant Parents: Do Their Migration Histories Limit their Children's Education," seeks to understand how much legalization matters and how unauthorized status affects children's educational attainment. Here are some of the report's major findings:

Analyzing the 'Bumpy Road' to Assimilation

Rohan Mascarenhas, Russell Sage Foundation
October 17, 2011

Jessica VasquezJessica Vasquez, a sociologist at University of Kansas, studies the roles that race/ethnicity and family play in assimilation/incorporation processes. Currently a Visiting Scholar at RSF, Vasquez published an article entitled "The Bumpy Road of Assimilation: Gender, Phenotype, and Historical Era" in the latest issue of Sociological Spectrum.

Q: Your article critiques assimilation theory for not taking into account inter-generational divisions. First, can you describe the main tenets of assimilation theory, and second, the difference between straight-line assimilation and the ‘bumpy road’?